Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Nov 20th, 2011 8:45AM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Wind Slabs.
mpeter,
Avalanche Canada
This bulletin is based on limited data. Local variation in conditions and danger levels are likely to exist. To produce more accurate forecasts, we need information. Please send an email to forecaster@avalanche.ca.
Summary
Confidence
Poor - Due to limited field observations
Weather Forecast
A strong Pacific System arrives on shore Monday, bringing heavy precipitation to the South Coast before moving inland late in the day. Monday: Expect clouds to build and winds to turn southwesterly. Flurries likely to begin late in the day and winds will increase. Temperatures will climb to -5. Tuesday: Snow, at times heavy. Winds continue up to 80km/h from the southwest and freezing levels could climb as high as 1800m. There is a chance of freezing rain at lower elevations. Wednesday: Snow continues, tapering late in the day. There will be significant differences in new snow amounts from west to east across the region, with the western upslopes receiving much more snow. I would not be surprised if these areas received 40-50cm of new snow from this system.
Avalanche Summary
Observations are extremely limited at this time. No new avalanches have been reported.
Snowpack Summary
10-30cm of new snow has fallen in the last 48hrs, with significantly more at the south end of the region. Snowpack depths are likely in the 60-80cm range at about 1600m and about 125cms at 2000m. In the upper snowpack, windslab and storm snow instabilities exist around lee features and ridgelines. There are also reports of a thin rain crust in the upper 50cm. Watch for the possibility of reverse loading with the recent Easterly winds.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Strong southwesterly winds will build fresh windslabs in lee features and around gullies. Be locally aware of how much new snow is falling and how the wind is affecting the snow. Don't forget that old windslabs may still be lurking.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Nov 21st, 2011 8:00AM
