Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the timing or intensity of solar radiation and its effect on the snowpack. Uncertainty is due to how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.

Change is in the air with a strong ridge set up through the weekend. This will bring clear and sunny skies, light northerly wind, and rising freezing levels.

Thursday Night: Some cloud cover and light (convective) snowfall 10-15 cm. Ridgetop winds light to moderate from the northwest. Freezing levels dropping to 800 m.

Friday/ Saturday: Sunshine with some clouds. Ridgetop wind light to moderate from the northeast and alpine temperatures near -5. Freezing levels (diurnal) 1000 m or lower overnight and 1500 m during the day.

Sunday: Sunny skies with freezing levels rising to 2000 m during the day. Ridgetop wind moderate from the North and alpine temperatures possibly rising to -1 degrees. 

No new avalanche observations were reported by Thursday afternoon. 

On Wednesday, numerous storm slab and loose wet avalanches up to size 2 were reported. Treeline and below treeline terrain saw wet loose avalanches up to size 2 as well. In the neighboring Sea to Sky region, a few skier controlled and remotely triggered (from as far away as 40 m) avalanches were also reported. These persistent slabs failed on the mid-February facet/ crust interface buried approximately 50 cm down. They caught people by surprise, but no involvements were associated.

On Tuesday afternoon, reports from the southern part of the region saw a widespread natural wet loose and wet slab cycle up to size 3. A few glide slab releases also occurred up to size 1.5. These avalanches may have actually occurred on Monday. In the northern part of the region, snowballing was seen from below treeline elevations. No new reports from the southern half of the region. 

Anywhere from 40 cm to 60 cm of recent storm snow has accumulated in the North (Pemberton area) and up to 80 cm in the South (Coquihalla) over a variety of surfaces that were buried mid-February. These old interfaces include surface hoar and/or facets in shady, wind-sheltered areas, sun crust on solar aspects. Generally, the storm snow seems to be settling quickly. The snow is moist/wet and rain-soaked at lower elevations, especially in the southern half of the province.

In the neighboring Sea to Sky region on northerly slopes (NW, N, NE, E) at treeline/ low alpine elevations (1700-2000 m) the mid-February facet/ crust persistent weak layer has been touchy to skier triggers, showing signs of whumphing and remotely triggered avalanches. Reports indicate that areas that have 3-5 cm of facets sitting on a hard melt-freeze crust are most concerning. There is no direct evidence of this persistent slab problem in the South Coast Inland, however, it may be developing and should be on your radar because the snowpack structure is similar.

Another crust/facet layer from late-January is buried down 40-120 cm and has shown no results in recent snowpack tests and is dormant at this time.

• Don't be too cavalier with decision making, storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
• Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
• Watch for unstable snow on specific terrain features, especially when the snow is moist or wet.
• Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.