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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 18th, 2022–Jan 19th, 2022
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Wind slabs continue to develop and may be reactive to human triggers. Watch for pockets of fresh snow as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Confidence

High - We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast

Weather Forecast

The ridge of high pressure over the BC interior will weaken on Wednesday morning as a Pacific frontal system pushes eastward spreading snow to the coastal ranges.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy, no precipitation, 10-20 km/h southwesterly winds, low alpine temperature -5 C with freezing level at 1300 m.

WEDNESDAY: Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries starting in the afternoon, accumulation 3-5 cm, 10-20 km/h southwesterly winds, high alpine temperature -3 C with freezing level at 1300 m.

THURSDAY: Snow, accumulation 20-30 cm, 30-50 km/h southwesterly winds, high alpine temperature -3 C with freezing level at 1300 m.

FRIDAY: A mix of sun and coud, no precipitation, 20-30 km/h northwesterly winds, high alpine temperature +3 C with freezing level at 2300 m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity have been reported over the last few days.

Snowpack Summary

New snow combined to moderate to strong southwest winds continue to develop wind slabs on north throught east facing slopes in the alpine and upper treeline. Temperatures have cooled off to below zero at treeline forming a melt freeze crust. Moist snow is still found at the surface at lower elevations.

Two buried weak layers of sugary, faceted grains sit in the middle and lower snowpack, at 100 cm deep and 150-250 cm deep. The deeper layer was formed by heavy rain followed by a cold spell in early December. It is most prominent between 1700 and 2100 m. With cooler temperatures, the probability of triggering an avalanche on this layer is low but will increase when freezing levels rise up again. The most likely place to trigger it would be in thin, rocky snowpack areas.

The lower snowpack is well-settled and strong.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs continue to develop with new snow and southwesterly winds and may be still reactive to human triggers. Be particularly careful around wind-loaded ridgelines and cross-loaded features mid slope. 

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2