Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Apr 17th, 2024 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Loose Wet and Persistent Slabs.
mconlan,
Avalanche Canada
Human triggering of a buried weak layer remains possible. The likelihood of warming-related avalanches will increase during the heat of the day.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
A large (size 2) loose wet avalanche triggered a slab about 50 cm deep on Tuesday at 1700 m. It is possible that it triggered the weak layer described in the snowpack summary. Otherwise, the most recent persistent slab activity occurred a week ago. Although the likelihood is decreasing, it remains possible for humans to trigger this buried weak layer. Also expect for sun-exposed slopes to deteriorate over the day, possibly triggering wet avalanches and releasing cornices.
Snowpack Summary
Dry, settled snow is found on shaded aspects in the alpine. A hard melt-freeze crust exists on the snow surface on sun-exposed slopes to the mountain tops and on all aspects below treeline. The crust will transition to wet snow with daytime warming and re-freeze at night.
50 to 100 cm of snow overlies a hard melt-freeze crust from early April. The overlying snow is slow to bond to the crust where pockets of weak surface hoar or faceted grains rest on the crust, which is most likely on northerly aspects at treeline and alpine elevations.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Clear skies. 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.
Thursday
Clear skies. 20 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1500 m.
Friday
Clear skies. 20 to 30 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1500 m.
Saturday
Clear skies. 20 to 30 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1500 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
- Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
- Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
- Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
Problems
Loose Wet
Wet loose avalanches are likely in steep terrain during the heat of the day. Cornices are also weakening and could release. These avalanches could step down to deeper layers, forming large avalanches.
Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
A weak layer of facets and/or surface hoar is buried around 50 to 100 cm deep. The layer is most prominent on terrain features sheltered from the wind. It remains possible that humans could trigger this layer, where it exists.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Apr 18th, 2024 4:00PM
