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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 30th, 2017–Jan 31st, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Watch for wind slabs lingering at higher elevations. Thanks to everyone who's shared observations on the MIN last weekend!

Confidence

High - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, moderate northeast winds, alpine temperatures around -12 C.WEDNESDAY: Sunny, moderate northeast winds, alpine temperatures around -12 C.THURSDAY: Sunny, light east winds, alpine temperatures around -14 C.

Avalanche Summary

Recent MIN reports do a great job highlighting recent avalanche activity in the region. Wind slabs were very reactive to human triggers over the weekend in northern parts of the region, releasing numerous size 1-1.5 avalanches on north and east aspects. Wind slabs may continue to be reactive to human triggers in the lee of exposed terrain at higher elevations. In thin rocky areas to the north, wind slabs could potentially step down to deeper weak layers.

Snowpack Summary

Sunday's storm delivered 10 cm of new snow. Strong southwest winds have left wind slabs lingering in the lee of exposed terrain. The new snow sits above a thin breakable sun crust and isolated pockets of surface hoar, potentially creating weak interfaces for wind slabs to propagate along. In southern areas (e.g. Coquihalla), the lower snowpack is well settled. In northern areas (e.g. Duffey Lake), the mid-January surface hoar and facet interface is now buried 50-80 cm deep. This interface produced large avalanches two weeks ago during the last major storm, and may still be poorly bonded in thin snowpack areas such as the South Chilcotins.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Watch for pockets of wind slabs on exposed features near ridge crests and cross-loaded gullies. Also be cautious around thin rocky areas where wind slabs could 'step down' to deeper weak layers.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.Avoid steep convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2