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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 6th, 2021–Apr 7th, 2021
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Stormy conditions are expected to build fresh and reactive storm slabs throughout the day. Choose conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability such as whumpfing, cracking and recent avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday night - Cloudy with flurries / moderate to strong southwest wind / alpine low temperature near -5 / freezing level 900 m

Wednesday - Snow, 15-25 cm / moderate to strong southwest wind / alpine high temperature near -6 / freezing level 1000 m

Thursday - A mix of sun and cloud / light northwest wind / alpine high temperature near -8 / freezing level 1000 m 

Friday - Snow, 10-15 cm / light northwest wind / alpine high temperature near -6 / freezing level 1000 m

Avalanche Summary

With high snow accumulations and strong southwest winds expected on Wednesday, fresh and reactive slabs are likely to increase in reactivity as the day goes on.

A natural avalanche cycle was observed in the region on Saturday during the storm. On Sunday, there were a few size 1-1.5 human triggered wind slab avalanches reported. This MIN describes triggering a small wind slab in large terrain. 

Snowpack Summary

15-25 cm of snow is expected to accumulate throughout the day, adding to the 20 cm that fell over the weekend. The precipitation is likely to fall as rain below around 1000 m. 

The new snow sits on a crust on sun-exposed aspects, and on all aspects below 1600 m, and on soft snow or wind slabs on north aspects. Southwest winds are expected to create fresh and reactive slabs during the day.

Cornices are large and looming along ridgelines. Their release is unpredictable, requiring a large berth if you're travelling above or below them.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for changing conditions today, storm slabs may become increasingly reactive.
  • Choose conservative terrain and watch for clues of instability.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Up to 25 cm could accumulate on Wednesday, creating fresh storm slabs that are likely to increase in reactivity throughout the day, particularly in wind loaded areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Cornices are large and looming along many ridgelines, and are likely to continue to grow during Wednesday's storm. 

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3