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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 15th, 2024–Mar 16th, 2024
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

⚠️ Avoid all avalanche terrain ⚠️

Natural avalanches are expected as heat continues to weaken the snowpack.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Wet avalanche activity was observed on Thursday as solar and warming began to impact the snowpack. We expect avalanches to increase in size as temperatures remain high over the weekend.

Continued widespread wet avalanches and cornice failures are expected as warming persists.

Snowpack Summary

Expect to find moist or wet snow at most elevations. Up to 50 cm of storm snow from the past few days is rapidly settling, and likely reactive as wet avalanches to human and natural triggers.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled and dense, however buried crusts exist that may make sliding surfaces for avalanche activity as the warming affects deeper into the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Clear skies. 30 km/h east ridgetop wind. Freezing level remains above 3500 m.

Saturday

Sunny. 30 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +14 °C with freezing level steady at 3500 m.

Sunday

Sunny. 20 km/h southerly ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +15 °C with freezing level remaining at 3500 m.

Monday

Sunny. 10 km/h southwestridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +12 °C with freezing level above 3000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard, especially solar aspects.
  • Keep in mind that wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Wet avalanches (loose or slab) are expected in any avalanche terrain but most likely on steep sun-exposed slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely - Certain

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5