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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 19th, 2025–Jan 20th, 2025
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Wind slabs may remain reactive to riders.

Recent avalanches on the buried weak layer bring uncertainty. Stick to low angle, supported terrain, free from overhead hazard.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity appears to be tapering since the recent storm. On Saturday a naturally triggered size 3 occurred, likely from solar input, on a southwest slope at treeline. This appeared limited to the recent storm snow.

Several size 2 wind slab avalanches on east and southeast slopes in the alpine were reported on Friday.

Size 3 avalanches were observed during the storm, running on the buried weak layer 100-200 cm deep.

Snowpack Summary

Light snowfall will bury a large surface hoar layer on shaded slopes, and a crust on sun affected slopes. Previous storm accumulations of up to 80 cm were wind-affected by west/southwest winds in exposed areas. Settling storm snow can still be found in sheltered areas but tapers rapidly with elevation to a firm melt freeze crust.

50 to 100 cm deep a layer of surface hoar, facets, or a thin crust exists.

A persistent weak layer of surface hoar and facets overlying a crust is buried 120 to 200 cm deep.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Clear skies with increasing cloud. 20 to 30 km/h westerly ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C. A small above-freezing layer sits around 1500 m overnight.

Monday

Cloudy. Up to 10 cm of snow possible for coastal areas, 2 cm expected for Shames. 40 to 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures start the day at -10 °C and rise to -4 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with no snow. 30 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 10 cm of snow. 30 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Choose low-angled, sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs. Potential remains for slabs to step down to deeper persistent weak layers.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

A widespread crust with facets is buried 120-200 cm deep. While this layer exists on all aspects, it's most likely to be triggered by a heavy load on wind-loaded slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5