Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 9th, 2013 8:42AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada pmarshall, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Sunday: A ridge of high pressure should maintain dry conditions and sunny skies. The freezing level is around 1600 m with mountaintop temperatures around -5. Winds are light from the northeast. Monday: The ridge should hold for one more day allowing for a mix of sun and cloud. The freezing level should be around to 1500 m. Winds increase to moderate from the west. Tuesday: A frontal system should move across the region bringing more cloud and a chance of flurries. The freezing level is around 1000 m. Winds are moderate from the southwest.   

Avalanche Summary

There was one report of a size 1.5 slab avalanche from a steep south aspect in the alpine on Thursday that appeared to involve the recent storm snow. There were also a few size 1 loose snow avalanches were reported running out of steep terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 15 cm of recent snowfall has been redistributed into dense or hard wind slabs at higher elevations from variable winds. Moist snow or a hard sun crust is likley on steep solar aspects depending on whether or not the sun is shining. The new storm snow overlies old wind slabs in exposed areas, settled storm snow or spotty surface hoar in more sheltered terrain, and a crust on previously sun-exposed slopes. A variable interface (surface hoar/facets/sun crust) was buried on Jan 23 and is down about 20-40cm. In most locations it now appears to be well bonded. The lower snowpack is generally well-settled. Cornices in the region are reported to be well developed and loom over heavily used slopes. These cornices deserve our respect, especially with clear skies and warming forecast for the weekend.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Pockets of wind slab are likely to exist at higher elevations on a variety of aspects and may react to the weight of a skier/rider. Steep sheltered terrain could see loose dry or wet snow avalanches depending on aspect.
Highmark or enter your line well below ridge crests to avoid wind loaded pillows.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Large and potentially weak cornices loom over open slopes and may fail with daytime warming and solar radiation.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Valid until: Feb 10th, 2013 2:00PM