Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 15th, 2012 8:12AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Monday
Weather Forecast
Overnight and Sunday: Light to moderate Southwest winds should become more westerly overnight and during the day Sunday. Very light precipitation should bring 0-2 cms during the day Sunday. Freezing level is expected to remain at valley bottom and alpine temperatures should be -12.0.Monday: The next system is forecast to move into the region by Monday morning. Expect moderate precipitation overnight bringing 5-10 cms of snow by morning and another 5 cms during the day. Strong Southwest winds are forecast during the storm and the freezing level should remain at the valley bottom.Tuesday: Cool and unsettled conditions in the wake of Mondays storm. Some convective flurries may cause another 5-8 cms during the day.
Avalanche Summary
There have been no avalanches reported in the last couple of days. We did get one report of a human triggered wind slab from about 4 days ago. With the recent cold temperatures, wind slabs may be slow to bond to the old surface.
Snowpack Summary
Variable snowpack conditions exist across the sub-regions of the South Rockies. The West of the region resembles the Lizard range with a little less overall depth to the snow pack. As you move to the East the snowpack depths gradually become more shallow. Expect to find wind slabs that have developed over the past 4-5 days in all areas at higher elevations. There continues to be some discussion about the early November rain crust. You may be able to find this crust in areas that had snow on the ground when that rain event happened. However, the crust has not been active.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 16th, 2012 2:00PM