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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 19th, 2021–Dec 20th, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Avalanche hazard is decreasing, however, recent winds made looking for good skiing a little more difficult.

Weather Forecast

Monday: Sunny with cloudy periods. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: High -14 °C. Ridge wind west: 10-20 km/h.Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: Low -18 °C, High -13 °C. Ridge wind west: 20 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate SW winds and small amounts of new snow has formed sensitive wind slabs in alpine and treeline areas. Mid and lower snowpack are mostly well consolidated base on recent observations.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control with use of explosives produced no significant results other than 2 small thin wind slabs. 1 larger natural wind slab was observed right below ridge crest in steep alpine feature on NE aspect.

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Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent avalanche control with minimal results, together with next to no natural activity proved this problem quite stubborn.

  • Watch for stiffer feeling snow. Avoid areas that appear wind loaded.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Triggering this layer would be a high consequence event - cautious decisions and thorough investigation is necessary. More likely to trigger this layer in transitions from thin snowpack to deeper loaded pockets or terrain features.

  • Use caution in thin snowpack areas.
  • Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3