Give the recent snow a day or two to find its equilibrium before venturing into exposed avalanche terrain.
Summary
Confidence
Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Wednesday
Weather Forecast
A weak ridge provides a break from heavy precipitation, but doesn't bring clear skies, through Monday and Tuesday. The freezing level hovers near 900 m and SW winds are light to moderate. On Wednesday, 10-15 cm snow is expected, with gradually warming temperatures.
Avalanche Summary
On Saturday, skiers triggered numerous small storm slabs and wind slabs were reportedly failing naturally to size 2. Natural activity probably peaked during the storm on Saturday night/Sunday, and remains possible on Monday.
Snowpack Summary
Two recent pulses of snow accompanied by strong S-SW winds have built deep wind slabs above a hard crust and/or surface hoar. The buried crust is most pronounced between about 1500 m and 2200 m. The distribution of the surface hoar seems spotty across the region, but some operators found it to be widespread in their tenure before the snow began burying it. Where the surface hoar exists, whumpfing indicates the touchiness of this interface. Deeper snowpack weaknesses (curst/facet and/or surface hoar layers formed in November and December) have fallen off the radar, but they could be reawakened with a very heavy load (like a cornice fall or wind slab) in the wrong spot (like a thin snowpack area, or high elevation northerly aspects where there is no strong crust above).
pgoddard,
Avalanche Canada
