Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 26th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada deryl kelly, Parks Canada

Notable variations in the snowpack, especially in the Alpine between north and southern regions of the Park. Natural activity is unlikely, rider triggering possible where the deep persistent slab problem is well defined.

Brazeau/Maligne open Feb 29th

Summary

Weather Forecast

Westerly flow aloft may contribute to continued partly cloudy skies through the Jasper forecast regions, as another weak system pushes through BC. Flurries are expected through the day Thursday with very little accumulation.

Find the Alberta Rockies weather synopsis here: Mountain Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

Daily, trace amounts of new snow, spread irregularly over the region on old hard slab in the alpine. A thin rain crust present on all aspects at treeline; 1700m and below. The southern forecast region has a supportive mid-pack. Less supportive and poor bridging over a pronounced basal weaknesses in the north; Whistlers/Portal and soon, Maligne area

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported. Forecast team in the Mt. Wilson zone, no sign of instability at TL and below. 

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Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Well defined wind effect and scouring in exposed areas at TL and the alpine. Triggering has the potential to initiate the deep persistent slab.

  • Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.
  • Watch for pockets of hard windslab in steep alpine terrain features..

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Skier triggering could occur in shallow snowpack areas or from large loads such a cornice failure. The consequences of triggering would be severe!

  • Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to weak layers at the base of the snowpack.
  • Avoid steep convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Feb 27th, 2020 4:00PM