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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 12th, 2021–Dec 13th, 2021
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Fresh windslab development at upper elevations warrants caution as the new snow continues to settle. Great skiing can be found in sheltered areas at tree line and below. 

Weather Forecast

Tonight- Isolated flurries with trace precipitation. Alpine temp low -14 C. Wind S 15-30 km/h

Mon- Cloudy with sunny periods & isolated flurries. Trace precipitation. Alpine high -10 C. Wind SE 10-30 km/h

Tues- Flurries. Alpine temp low -17. Light ridge wind

Wed- A mix of sun & cloud. No Precipitation. Alpine temperature low -18. Wind W 10-25 km/h

Snowpack Summary

30cm of new snow in the past 36h with moderate SW wind has created new windslab near ridge top & in exposed terrain above treeline. Mid snowpack has settled well with a weak rain crust present below the recent snow upto 1800m. Another crust near the base of the snowpack continues to promote basal faceting adding to our deep persistent slab concerns

Avalanche Summary

No new activity observed on the icelfields parkway today with limited alpine visibility.

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Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow and moderate to strong SW winds building new windslab in lee and crossloaded features. Watch for hollow sounds and cracking. Consider testing smaller slopes before committing to larger features; windslabs could initiate deep layers.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.
  • Watch for stiffer feeling snow. Avoid areas that appear wind loaded.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5

Loose Dry

Heavy down flow observed in the Wilson region. Ice Climbers, avoid all overhead exposure.

  • Sluffs will be easy to trigger in steep terrain that is sheltered from the wind

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Triggering this layer would be a high consequence event - cautious decisions and thorough investigation is necessary. More likely to trigger this layer in transitions from thin snowpack to deeper loaded pockets or terrain features.

  • Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls
  • Use caution in thin snowpack areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5