Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 2nd, 2025 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeUp to 20 cm of new snow with strong winds are forecast for parts of the Island. Avoid lee slopes, especially if you see blowing snow forming new wind slabs.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Recent reports include two rider-triggered wind slab avalanches in lee terrain features at upper elevations. (Click on photos below for details). Looking forward, with more snow and strong wind in the forecast, we expect wind slabs to remain a problem over the coming days.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 20 cm of new snow with moderate to strong southeast wind, is forecast to fall throughout the day Friday The highest amounts are expected on the southwestern parts of the Island, with limited amounts for the north.
This new snow will add to the current 30 to 40 cm of settling storm snow from the last few days. 50 to 80 cm of older snow from last weekend is settling and bonding well to an underlying crust.
Below 1200 m, surfaces may be moist or crusty.
The remainder of the snowpack has no current layers of concern.
Snowpack depths at treeline are approximately 200 cm on the north and south Island, and 300 cm on the central Island.
Weather Summary
Thursday Night
Cloudy, with 0 to 2 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 700 m.
Friday
Cloudy with 0 to 20 cm of snow / light to moderate rain - highest precipitation amounts for the southwestern and central Island regions, lowest for the north. 30 to 60 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.
Saturday
Cloudy with 2 to 8 cm of snow / light rain. 40 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.
Sunday
Cloudy with 0 to 3 cm of snow/ light rain. 20 to 30 km/h variable ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
- Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
- Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.
- Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
Problems
Wind Slabs
With new snow and strong wind in the forecast, fresh reactive slabs are expected to form throughout the day Thursday.
Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 3rd, 2025 4:00PM