Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Apr 12th, 2012 10:27AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs, Loose Wet and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Poor - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain for the entire period
Weather Forecast
A low pressure center is moving into Southern Alberta where it should remain stationary through to Friday. This low will continue to spread light- moderate amounts of precipitation to the region through to later Saturday. Freezing levels on Friday are expected to rise to 2000 m. Through the weekend freezing levels will generally stay near 1900 m, rising to 2000 m by Monday. Solar radiation will be intense when the sun shines through. Ridgetop winds will be light-moderate from the SW-W.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanche observation reported.
Snowpack Summary
On Thursday, up to 10 cm of new snow fell at upper elevations. With forecast snow and wind, wind slabs are likely building at higher elevations behind ridgecrests and terrain features. Lower elevations continue to see rain, and loose wet avalanches are likely. This recent spring- like warm weather has promoted settlement within the snowpack. Melt-freeze conditions exist, and snow is moist below 1700 m on all aspects. On solar aspects the snow has become moist to ridgetop and new snow may have a poor bond to the crust. Below the surface, down 60-100 cm sits on the March 27th interface which seems to be more predominant on southerly aspects. The bond on this interface seems to be improving, as field tests have shown no significant results. On Tuesday our field team went back to the Flathead to gather some observations. They found the mid Feb surface hoar layer down 280 cm, test results showed a Deep Tap Test of 21 with a sudden collapse characteristic. This layer currently sits dormant, but may wake up later this spring under a prolonged heat up. Glide cracks are a concern with the forecast rain below 1500 m. Be sure to give them a wide berth as they are very sensitive and could fail at any moment.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Wet
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Apr 13th, 2012 9:00AM