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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 27th, 2018–Mar 28th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Cariboos.

Some places saw phenomenal amounts of new snow on Tuesday: Give the snow time to settle and stick to conservative terrain. Limiting overhead hazard will be critical as well.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

We're looking at unsettled weather with cool temperatures and isolated flurries throughout the forecast period.WEDNESDAY: A mix of sun and cloud and isolated flurries. Moderate north/west winds 20-45 Km/hr. Freezing level to 1400 metres with alpine high temperatures around -6. THURSDAY: Sunny with cloudy periods and isolated flurries. Winds becoming light westerly. Freezing level to 700 metres with alpine high temperatures of -8.FRIDAY: A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Light north / west winds. Freezing level 500 metres with alpine high temperatures around -9.  

Avalanche Summary

We haven't had any observations from the field but a widespread natural avalanche cycle is expected to have happened on Tuesday with all the storm snow.

Snowpack Summary

There were some incredible amounts of (heavy) new snow on Tuesday, ranging from 18 to 46 cm. Winds have been moderate to strong from the south / west. Last week saw a wind-affected 15-30 cm of new snow, which sits on a variety of snow surfaces: older storm snow or wind slabs up high, or sun crusts at lower elevations and on south aspects. Surface hoar layers have been reported on shaded aspects at higher elevations and might now be found at approximately 50 and 80 cm below the surface. Persistent weak layers from early January and mid-December are still being reported by local operators. They are generally considered dormant, but could wake up with a surface avalanche stepping down, a large cornice fall, or a human trigger in a shallow or variable-depth snowpack area. These layers consist of sun crust, surface hoar and/or facets.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

All the new snow will take time to settle and stabilize. Ride in meadows or low consequence zones on Wednesday.
Use conservative route selection, stick to low angled terrain with no consequence.Choose regroup spots that are out of avalanche terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3.5