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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 4th, 2017–Dec 5th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Rockies.

Lingering wind slab and persistent slab problems are keeping avalanche danger in a holding pattern. Sunshine and warming are set to undermine stability later in the week.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud and no new snow. Light northwest winds. Alpine temperatures around -5.Wednesday: Mainly sunny. Light west winds. Freezing level rising to 1300 metres with a strong alpine temperature inversion beginning in the afternoon. Alpine temperatures around -4 and rising with the onset of the inversion. Thursday: Mainly sunny. Light west winds. Freezing level rising to 3500 metres with alpine temperatures around +5. Cooler temperatures at lower elevations due to strong alpine temperature inversion.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported from this region. There is potential for triggering wind slabs on leeward slopes and dry loose avalanches from steeper terrain features. Smaller avalanches may step down and trigger larger avalanches on buried weak layers deeper in the snowpack. Please submit your observations this weekend to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack remains highly variable with very little information regarding snowpack structure within the region. Average snowpack depths at upper elevations range from 60-110 cm with scoured snow surfaces on southwesterly slopes and deeper pockets of wind slab on northeasterly slopes. Below the surface exists a series of crusts that were buried near the end of November approximately 40 cm and 70 cm down. Deeper in the snowpack a third crust from the end of October exists as a "facet/crust" combo and has been identified as a potential sliding interface where snowpack testing North of the region (Kananaskis Country) has yielded hard but sudden results on this layer.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Stiff wind slabs could be reactive to rider triggers at treeline and in the alpine on leeward and cross-loaded slopes.
Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

There are several crusts now buried within the snowpack. Use extra caution in thin snowpack areas where it may be possible to trigger a deeper layer. Triggering a wind slab may also have the potential to step-down to a deeper layer.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.If triggered wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3