Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 25th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada Rupert Wedgwood, Parks Canada

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Further to the announcement of Parks Canada facility and service closures last week, as of March 25, 2020, Parks Canada will temporarily suspend motor vehicle access to non-essential roadways by visitors.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Cooling tonight with a good freeze to the surface layers of the snow. However a warming trend is underway over the next 4 days with limited below treeline snowopack recover as we enter the weekend. During the next 24hrs precipitation amounts will be modest but winds will be strong from the west in the alpine: Mountain weather forecast

Snowpack Summary

The mid snowpack is consolidating providing good bridging strength over the weak base. Sun and temperatures crusts laminate the upper snowpack. At treeline and above watch for thin windslabs over these crusts where bonding may be poor, particularly on solar facing slopes. Cornices loom large and are particularly capricious at this time of year.

Avalanche Summary

Recent activity has been limited  to very few point releases to size 1.5 from steep rocky terrain.  There is significant snow clinging to steep rock faces which when warmed by the sun will rapidly destabilize. Similarly cornices are large and should be considered a looming hazard at all times.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Friday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

10-15cm of new snow in the past 48 hrs appears to be bonding well to layers below. At ridge tops and on solar slopes, where crusts may be buried, this problem is of most concern.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.
  • Minimize exposure to steep slopes on warm or sunny days.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The mid snowpack is consolidating and offers bridging strength over a weak  base. Caution is needed in areas where the snowpack is thin.  Collapsing cornices may trigger this weakness unleashing large avalanches.

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.
  • Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to weak layers at the base of the snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Mar 26th, 2020 4:00PM