Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 6th, 2013 9:25AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Thursday: A weak upper trough moves through the region bringing unsettled conditions and light snow accumulations 5-10 cm. Ridgetop winds will light and blowing from the West. Treeline temperatures near -3 and freezing levels around 1100 m. Friday: Ridge of high pressure moves in with residual moisture and cloudy cover bringing only trace snow amounts. Ridgetop winds will switch and blow light from the NW. Treeline temperatures near -6 and freezing levels will hold stationary around 900 m.Saturday: Ridging continues accompanied by a fast moving, short lived weak disturbance. Trace of snow expected with ridgetop winds blowing moderate from the NW. Treeline temperature near -4 and freezing levels around 1300 m falling to valley bottom overnight.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported.Over the past couple of days a widespread natural avalanche cycle occurred up to size 2.5 mostly on NE-E aspects above 2000 m. A large natural size 3 slab avalanche was also reported from a large uneven south facing slope. the suspected failure plane being the buried crust down 40-80 cm. Several skier triggered avalanches up to size 2 were initiated from a variety of aspects and elevations ranging from 155-2200 m.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 25 cm of new snow sits on wind slabs and persistent weak interfaces. Wind slabs continue to develop and stiffen on lee slopes (N-SE) and behind terrain features like ridgelines and ribs. The old storm snow has settled into a dense slab that could be triggered by skiers or sledders and produce avalanches up to size 2.0. This slab sits on a spotty and variable weak interface comprising of crusts, surface hoar and facets which are buried  40-80 cm down. Professionals are finding the early January surface hoar layer to be well preserved in more locations below 2000 metres than had been suspected. Use extra caution on open slopes, cutblocks and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Old wind slabs continue to be a concern, and new wind slabs have formed. Concerning areas are on lee slopes and behind terrain features like ridges and ribs, and could be triggered under the weight of a person.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
50-70 cm slab is sitting on a variety of old surfaces that were left after the dry period of mid-January. These layers comprise of buried crusts on solar aspects and surface hoar in sheltered polar aspects.
Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.>Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 6

Valid until: Feb 7th, 2013 2:00PM

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