Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 6th, 2013 9:25AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Good
Weather Forecast
Thursday: A weak upper trough moves through the region bringing unsettled conditions and light snow accumulations 5-10 cm. Ridgetop winds will light and blowing from the West. Treeline temperatures near -3 and freezing levels around 1100 m. Friday: Ridge of high pressure moves in with residual moisture and cloudy cover bringing only trace snow amounts. Ridgetop winds will switch and blow light from the NW. Treeline temperatures near -6 and freezing levels will hold stationary around 900 m.Saturday: Ridging continues accompanied by a fast moving, short lived weak disturbance. Trace of snow expected with ridgetop winds blowing moderate from the NW. Treeline temperature near -4 and freezing levels around 1300 m falling to valley bottom overnight.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches have been reported.Over the past couple of days a widespread natural avalanche cycle occurred up to size 2.5 mostly on NE-E aspects above 2000 m. A large natural size 3 slab avalanche was also reported from a large uneven south facing slope. the suspected failure plane being the buried crust down 40-80 cm. Several skier triggered avalanches up to size 2 were initiated from a variety of aspects and elevations ranging from 155-2200 m.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 25 cm of new snow sits on wind slabs and persistent weak interfaces. Wind slabs continue to develop and stiffen on lee slopes (N-SE) and behind terrain features like ridgelines and ribs. The old storm snow has settled into a dense slab that could be triggered by skiers or sledders and produce avalanches up to size 2.0. This slab sits on a spotty and variable weak interface comprising of crusts, surface hoar and facets which are buried 40-80 cm down. Professionals are finding the early January surface hoar layer to be well preserved in more locations below 2000 metres than had been suspected. Use extra caution on open slopes, cutblocks and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 7th, 2013 2:00PM