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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 20th, 2021–Nov 21st, 2021
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Strong to Extreme winds have added more loaded to the existing problems in the snowpack. We continue to receive isolated report of large destructive avalanches.

Weather Forecast

Light precipitation forecasted for Sunday with snow accumulation amount between a trace to 5cm. Slight decrease in upper elevation winds for Sunday will be short lived as strong to extreme values return on Monday. Freezing levels will stay near valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

Several cm of fresh snow exist over a surface crust (below 2000m).Last weeks storm snow (5 day total of 65-90 cm) continues to settle. Wind slabs exist in alpine and down into tree-line elevations. A melt/freeze crust and/or facets exist near the ground (in some locations). Snowpack depths at tree-line average 60-110 cm

Avalanche Summary

We received a report of one large size 2.5 natural avalanche observed in the Lake Louise area from the past 24 hours. This slab release was likely initiated from wind loading. local ski hills continue to report avalanches to size 2.5 triggered with explosives.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Reactive windslabs exist in the alpine and down into some tree-line locations. We observed active wind loading through the day Saturday as strong to extreme winds striped windward slopes.

  • Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow. Avoid wind loaded terrain.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

A facet or facet crust layer exists at the bottom of the snowpack. Although natural avalanche activity has decreased on this layer we continue to receive report of human triggering. Be suspicious or steer clear of steeper terrain that has not slid.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5