Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 23rd, 2017–Apr 24th, 2017
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
The impact from solar radiation will be significant tomorrow. Start early, and finish early.

Weather Forecast

Clear skies and the potential for intense solar radiation are forecasted on Monday. By Monday evening expect a small system to move through the forecast region with up to 15mm of precip. Wind will remain light with variable direction for the next 3 days. Freezing levels will rise to almost 2000m in the hottest parts of the day.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is totally dependent on aspect and elevation now. At treeline and above, melt freeze crusts exist to ridge top on solar aspects, while on north aspects, dry surface snow still exists above ~2400m. Below treeline the snowpack becomes wet during the day and is becoming isothermal. The weak basal facets remain present in alpine areas.

Avalanche Summary

Forecasters received a report of a party of 2 being involved with a size 2 avalanche that was cornice triggered. Both party members were caught and partially buried. They self rescued with minor injuries. A couloir in the Boom Lake area is the best we have for location, aspect elevation etc.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

A limited overnight freeze on Sunday night will create loose wet problems at lower elevations and on S and W facing terrain at higher elevations. Travel early to manage this problem.
Pay attention to sluffing off cliffs and steep solar terrain, signs of a warming snowpack.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Cornices continue to fail. Minimize your time underneath these and remember that a cornice failure could also trigger the deep persistent slab on the basal facets.
Cornices become weak with daytime heating, so travel early on exposed slopes.Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

The snowpack is gaining strength, but the weak basal facets continue to produce sudden collapse results and can produce large avalanches with large triggers or heat. Stick to planar, supported slopes with a deeper snowpack when entering steep terrain
Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could easily trigger the deep persistent slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4