Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 15th, 2017 5:03PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain on Thursday
Weather Forecast
THURSDAY: Cloudy with scattered flurries / Moderate southwest wind southwest / Alpine temperature -6 / Freezing level: 1100mFRIDAY: Flurries, accumulation 5cm / Moderate south wind / Alpine temperature -8 / Freezing level 1200mSATURDAY: Flurries, accumulation 10-15cm / Moderate to strong southwest wind / Alpine temperature -4 / Freezing level 1500mMore details can be found on theMountain Weather Forecast.
Avalanche Summary
It is expected that there was a widespread natural avalanche cycle over the past 3 days in the areas south of Valemount with warm temperatures and rain up to 2000m. Warming temperatures on Monday afternoon destabilized the snowpack, resulting in a widespread natural avalanche cycle below treeline. A widespread natural avalanche cycle to Size 2.5 was reported below treeline on Monday afternoon.
Snowpack Summary
In the south of the region, surface snow up to 2000m is moist or wet. There has been 5-15cm of fresh snow with moderate to strong southerly winds each of the past several days creating storm slabs and wind slabs tree line and above. This recent new snow sits on faceted snow, thin sun crust on steep southerly aspects, as well as surface hoar in sheltered areas in some parts of the region. Approximately 80-120 cm below the surface you may find the mid-February persistent weakness. Professionals in the region have warned that the load above this layer has reached a critical amount, particularly where it presents as a crust. Deep persistent weaknesses in the lower third of the snowpack still have the potential to react to human triggers or smaller slab avalanches, especially with the warming air temperatures and/or intense sunshine.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 16th, 2017 2:00PM