Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 6th, 2011 9:10AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ccampbell, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Good - -1

Weather Forecast

Mostly clear and dry for the forecast period with light northerly winds. The temperature inversion is expected to redevelop with above freezing treeline and alpine temperatures, as well as valley cloud, by Friday.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity has tapered off throughout the week. Although the likelihood of triggering deep persistent slab avalanches is low, the potential consequences are still very high.

Snowpack Summary

Surface hoar is growing, surface snow is faceting, and pockets of weak wind slab may still be lingering on various aspects at and above treeline.Warm temperatures and sun-exposure likely resulted in a surface crust on steep south aspects. Last weekends rain crust is down 20-40cm and extends up to treeline elevations. Basal depth hoar with an associated crust is prevalent in thin snowpack areas, and especially problematic where it is overlying summer firn. Above that, and down 1-2m, are two more crusts mixed with facets, depth hoar, and surface hoar. Time has allowed the overlying snow to gain strength making it less likely to trigger the deeper weaknesses, but if you do hit the sweet spot, such as a shallow area, the resulting avalanche could have very serious consequences.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Weak wind slabs may still be lurking below ridge crests, behind terrain features, and in cross-loaded gullies.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs
The right trigger (big air onto steep unsupported slope, sled track trenching deep in a thin area) could have disastrous consequences. The greatest concern is in the Whistler area on slopes with variable snowpack depths above 1900m.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 7

Valid until: Dec 7th, 2011 8:00AM

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