Avalanche Forecast

MONDAY: Freezing level: dropping to 1500m, mostly cloudy, light to moderate southwesterly ridgetop winds. TUESDAY: Freezing level: 1500m, overcast skies,  light to moderate southerly ridgetop winds. TUESDAY NIGHT: 15-20mm of precipitation with freezing levels dropping to near 1000m and moderate southerly ridgetop winds. WEDNESDAY: Freezing level: 1000m, light precipitation, light southerly ridgetop winds.

On Saturday, a size 2 wet slab avalanche was reported as being possibly remotely triggered by a helicopter on a southeast aspect at 1900m. Additionally, numerous wet loose avalanches to size 2 were observed on solar aspects at treeline and in the alpine.

Cornices are large, fragile, and could trigger deep slab avalanches that run to valley bottoms. Monitoring the overnight freeze of the snow surface is very important during the spring. If the snow surface does not freeze overnight or if the crust is only a few cm thick, the effect of daytime heating and solar radiation will weaken the snowpack much more quickly than it would if there is a well frozen thick crust. This is because the crust must first melt before the sun can weaken the snowpack. Deeply buried weak layers in the mid snowpack and near the ground still have the potential to wake up and become active with a rapid warm up. While unlikely, releases on these deeply buried weak layers would result in very large avalanches. Glide cracks are widespread, active, and best avoided. Low elevation and thin snowpack areas have become isothermal, meaning the snowpack is 0 degrees Celsius throughout. An isothermal snowpack is more prone to full depth wet slab avalanches during the heat of the day, especially on steep, rocky faces.