Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Thursday: Flurries, accumulation 5-10cm / Moderate southwest wind / Alpine temperature -4Friday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries / Light northeast wind / Alpine temperature -7Saturday: Sunny with cloudy periods/ Light north wind / Alpine temperature -10

Recent reports from Monday and Tuesday indicate numerous explosive and a few skier triggered storm slab and wind slab avalanches to size 2 in the alpine and treeline at the storm snow/old snow interface . There were also reports of a few remotely triggered avalanches from thin wind scoured ridge crests into adjacent steeper loaded slopes. I would suspect there to be continued potential for skier and rider triggering with some recent very strong winds at upper elevations and a possible weak bond at the storm/old snow interface with buried surface hoar in isolated sheltered areas.

30-50cm of new snow overlies the previous variable snow surface from last week, which includes hard wind pressed or scoured areas, old wind slabs, weak faceted snow, or surface hoar. Moderate to strong southwest wind has redistributed this new snow to form windslabs in the lee of terrain features in the alpine and treeline. The widespread mid-November crust is typically down 1-2m in the snowpack. Recent snowpack and explosive tests have shown the crust to be unreactive, but it could remain a problem in shallow alpine start zones.