Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 10th, 2022 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Loose Wet, Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
Deryl Kelly,
Daytime warming with a mixed bag of strong solar influence, rain, or loading will press the hazard to Considerable over the day. Extra caution advised in all avalanche terrain as the snowpack flexes through these first diurnal warming swings.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Cooler air filtering in behind the present weather system and will drop freezing levels to valley bottom overnight. Winds will remain strong to extreme, west-northwest at ridgetop and will gradually weaken to just strong by morning. Flurries and light snow for the bulletin region overnight. Mild, sunny and dry for Friday.
Snowpack Summary
Exposed alpine stripped to rock at ridgetop and open features. Upper snowpack subject to diurnal swings in temperature and solar effect, TL and below. Dec FC down ~20-70cm. Basal FC/DH widespread throughout forecast zone.
Avalanche Summary
Significant loose wet/wet slab avalanche cycle observed on low elevation targets through the Parkway and Maligne highway corridors. Extended emergency closures possible at any time as the snowpack adjusts to the changing conditions. Avalanche control along the Parkway produced several large avalanches impeding through traffic longer than expected.
Confidence
Problems
Loose Wet
Spring like warming for the bulletin region trigging a significant loose wet cycle. Sunny aspects especially active.
Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Any snow available for transport has blown into lee features building hard windslab and stripping ridgetops and open features bare along the Icefields Parkway and Maligne Lake area.
- Be aware of the potential for wide propagations due to the presence of hard windslabs.
- Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Persistent slabs sit over different weak layers depending on elevation & aspect. Above 1950m a buried facet layer down 20-40cm is the primary concern. Below 1950m, a faceting crust down 40-70 is presenting a more stubborn version of a similar problem
- Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.
- Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 11th, 2022 4:00PM
