Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 23rd, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Garth Lemke,

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The hazard has the potential to increase if the sun comes out and causes an unexpected rapid rise in temperature.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Monday will be sun, cloud, flurries, -7C, and light gusting 35km/hr West winds. Tuesday will be sun, cloud, no new snow, -11 to -7C, and light West winds. Wednesday will be very similar but slightly colder. 

Snowpack Summary

Treeline and below, the top 30-50cm is low to medium hardness. Above Treeline, a stiff windslab is the top 30cm layer. A crust with loose weak facets can be found at lower elevations approximately 40-60cm down. The mid-pack is medium to hard stiffness of mixed crystal forms except where loose barely supportive Facets dominate in shallow locations.

Avalanche Summary

Sunday's Icefield's patrol noted a low elevation wet loose surface avalanche cycle with numerous size 1's. Saturday's patrol observed one size 2 on a West aspect initiating mid-path. Surface snowballing also occurred along the low roadside paths. Maligne observed one size 2.5, persistent slab, 200m wide and 1m deep initiated by a cornice failure.

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Monday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

The main concern is where wind slabs have built over weak faceted snow. Watch for a hollow sounding snowpack. Strong ridgetop winds and snow transport continued on Sunday.

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The slab problem overlies different layers depending on elevation and aspect. Lower elevations has a rain crust 40-60cm down with weak facets on top reacting to tests. Above 1950m, a buried surface facet layer down 20-30cm is the primary concern.

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.
  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Jan 24th, 2022 4:00PM