Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Rockies.
Confidence
Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain for the entire period
Weather Forecast
 A weak upper trough over the South Rockies is slowly dissipating providing more clearing and less precipitation with only trace amounts of snow forecast for Friday. Overnight into Friday: Trace accumulations only. Freezing levels remain close to valley bottom even during the day and winds will be light.Saturday: No new precipitation. Good freeze overnight, but daytime temperatures could rise to over 1500m with clear skies. Winds light from the North West.Sunday: More of a western zonal weather pattern expected. Light precipitation possible. Warmer daytime temperatures with freezing levels up to 1800m. Winds light from the South West.
Avalanche Summary
Numerous natural loose dry avalanches up to size 1.5 were observed throughout the forecast region on Thursday. They mostly occurred in steep terrain and entrained recent storm snow.Ski cutting and cornice cutting tests in the Harvey Pass area produced loose and soft slab avalanches to size 1.5.
Snowpack Summary
Approximately 20 cm of new low density snow has fallen in the last 24hrs which brings the total snow recent storm totals to 70 cm. Greatest accumulations have occurred in the Elk Valley South and Flathead regions while areas such as Elk Valley North and Crowsnest pass may not have seen as much new snow. South west winds have contributed to cornice growth and soft slabs formation in open areas in the alpine and treeline. All of the recent snow accumulations overlie a rain crust which exists up to about 2000m in elevation in much of the forecast area. Mid and lower pack is strong and well settled.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 4
Loose Dry
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 5