Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 19th, 2016 9:08AM
The alpine rating is Cornices and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Friday
Weather Forecast
A brief pulse will bring 5-12cm of new snow to the region on Friday night. Expect gradual clearing throughout the day on Saturday and mainly clear skies on Sunday. On Sunday night the region may see light flurries, but more clearing is expected on Monday. Ridgetop winds will be generally strong from the southwest with Friday and Sunday nights` systems; otherwise, they will remain mainly light. Freezing levels should hover between 1300 and 1500m for the forecast period.
Avalanche Summary
Recent avalanche observations have been extremely limited, mostly due to stormy weather. New wind and snow forecast for Friday night will promote a round of wind slab activity in high elevation lee terrain.
Snowpack Summary
New snow and wind forecast for Friday night will form new wind slabs in lee terrain at treeline and in the alpine. Up to 10mm of precipitation fell on Thursday. At treeline and in the alpine, precipitation fell as snow and strong southwest winds formed wind slabs. Throughout the storm the rain line trended from about 1750m down to about 1500m. Ongoing stormy weather has also encouraged new cornice growth. Many of these cornices are reported to be huge and unsupported. About 20-40cm below the surface you may find a melt freeze crust which formed during the 2nd week of February. At the same interface, you may find surface hoar which most likely exists on high, north facing terrain. Rain and warm temperatures have likely flushed out this weakness in most areas; however, continued reactivity may exist in high elevation terrain above the recent rain line. West of the divide, a layer of buried surface hoar can be found between 50 and 70cm below the surface. Recent reports suggest this layer has become less of a concern.
Problems
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 20th, 2016 2:00PM