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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 9th, 2018–Feb 10th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

http://www.pc.gc.ca/apps/scond/Cond_E.asp?oID=30731&oPark=100244Avalanche control today was effective and Highway 93 should reopen on schedule tomorrow.

Weather Forecast

Cool arctic air and beautiful blue skies will dominate over the short term and likely into next week. The strength and location of the high pressure system will keep winds lighter, making for a longer period of good travel conditions and the midday sun will make you feel warm if you recreate in the sunny locations.

Snowpack Summary

Cool temps have started to reduce the touchiness of the storm slab throughout the forecast zone. Varied storm snow amts: 10-15cm in the Icefields, 40cm near Mt Wilson, and 30cm north of Beauty creek is sitting on the weak and facetted persistent slab at mid snowpack. Reverse loading from a northerly flow has cross-loaded Alpine features.

Avalanche Summary

Widespread avalanche cycle throughout the forecasted region with numerous to size 3.5 over the last 2 days from all aspects. All elevations saw significant propagation with debris often reaching valley bottom even from ALP start zones.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Up to 45cm of HST fell through the forecast area, over-loading the already weak persistent slab and running far and fast.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Avoid steep, open glades in the forest.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

Persistent slabs remain a problem, areas that have already cleaned out in the last avalanche cycle pose the least risk.
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5