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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 10th, 2017–Jan 11th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
We switched our problems today to a Deep Persistent Slab, and a Wind Slab. The DPS problem is here for the long run, due to the weak faceted base. The WS problem is more dynamic; coming & going more often. Right now the N wind has created hard slabs.

Weather Forecast

Clear and cold for the next few days, with gradual warming starting for the weekend. Wednesday's temperatures will range from -16 to -25, with light winds out of the north (moderate winds up high). With the wind, the temperatures are brutal right now so be sure to bring tonnes of extra warm clothing and take care to not let yourself get too cold.

Snowpack Summary

18 cm of snow from the past 48-hr has been blown to smithereens by northern winds at treeline and above. This has produced a reverse loading pattern, with hard slabs in many starting zone areas overlying a weak, faceted snowpack with numerous instabilities in the lower half of the snowpack. This is today's snow profile from Bow Summit.

Avalanche Summary

SIze 1 skier accidental avalanche in a wind loaded gully at Bow Summit today, followed by our team getting a significant crack in the adjacent gully. Observed a size 2 natural avalanche in a leeward (from the north wind) feature on Observation Peak also. Lake Louise ski hill reported several hard to trigger slabs up to size 1, and lots of cracking.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Winds from the north have created hard wind slabs in many areas, and these are reverse from normal locations. These slabs are hard to trigger, with a single person, but if they go it will be a dense piece of snow to ride.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

The lower half of the snowpack is garbage, and will be for the distant future. Facets, crusts and depth hoar make for a very unsupported base for the snowpack. Large, avalanche prone features are out for now.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3