Although the danger is rated MODERATE - this means that natural avalanches are not expected, but human triggered avalanches are possible. Possible! Conditions remain tricky despite seeing less avalanches happening. The ones that do happen are huge!
Summary
Weather Forecast
Overcast skies and light now forecast for Wednesday with temperatures remaining in the -5 to -10 range as long as the sun doesn't come out, and light winds. This time of year it only takes a short burst of strong sun to have an influence on the snowpack - but right now it looks like Wednesday will be a pretty benign day in the mountains.
Snowpack Summary
Suncrust on the surface in most locations except shaded terrain above 1800m. Shallow snowpack areas remain weak with our focus on facets in the lower snowpack overlain by a stiff slab. Tests on these facets produce easy, sudden collapses. Buried crusts in the upper meter are also a concern, and have been producing avalanches within the past week
Avalanche Summary
Several cornice failures were noted in the Sunshine area. Really important to note the large avalanche in Kananaskis Country that occurred on Sunday - this is now only 48 hours old now, and was a deep, hard slab overlying fist hard depth hoar - sobering. Similar results can be expected in the our region, which is adjacent.
Confidence
Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain