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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 17th, 2015–Feb 18th, 2015
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
The natural cycle is tapering, but human triggering is still possible.

Weather Forecast

Clear skies on Wednesday will be followed by a weak system on thursday which will produce very light precipitation. Wind will remain light from the West. These inputs will produce little change in the danger rating.

Snowpack Summary

Some wind effect in open areas above tree line. Temperature crust present below 1800m. 60-70cm of well settled snow from recent storms and warm temperatures sits over weak facets and depth hoar at the bottom of the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported today. However, forecasters conducted a fracture line profile at the avalanche that occurred on Sunday that was posted to our facebook page. Here is the link to see this profile.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The base of the snowpack remains weak due to the presence of basal depth hoar and facets. Natural activity is tapering off, however human triggering is still likely on this layer.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Wind Slabs

Winds from both the SW and NW have formed fresh wind slabs in open areas above tree line. These are settling out but can still be triggered and may step down to the basal weak layers.
If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2