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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 10th, 2016–Feb 11th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

High freezing levels, warm temperatures, strong UV inputs and poor overnight recovery have created moist snow below 2300m. This increases the likelihood of natural and human triggered avalanches, particularly in the afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Now until Friday, freezing level will hover around 1800m, temperatures will be seasonal -3 to -6C. Expect freeze thaw conditions. Mixed clouds and trace of snow rest of the week.

Snowpack Summary

Tuesday's warm temperatures softened alpine surface snow and weakened lower elevations snowpack making for moist/wet conditions. Slabs will persist at tree-line and above on North-Easterly aspects below ridge crests and cross-loaded terrain. The mid-pack is facetted, new snow interface is a concern along with a decomposed surface hoar down 40cm.

Avalanche Summary

Warm temperatures induced a natural avalanche cycle on Tuesday late afternoon. Size 3's noted in the alpine and size 2's at lower elevations. Highway 93 was subsequently closed in the late afternoon. Control work on Wednesday produced loose wet avalanches to size 2 that crossed the highway and wet slabs that showed propagation up to 100m across.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Previously formed slabs now comprise the upper and mid-pack in many locations. Natural and human triggered avalanches are possible.
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Loose Wet

Warm temperatures and poor overnight recovery have promoted widespread natural activity at lower elevations during the late afternoon.
Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2