Avalanche Forecast
Large avalanches continue to be reported around the region. A complex and reactive snowpack is best managed by choosing simple, conservative terrain.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
A significant avalanche cycle occurred last weekend, with very large slab avalanches (up to size 4) failing on multiple persistent weak layers. On Sunday, skiers remotely triggered a size 3 persistent slab near Shames (see photo). Reports of large avalanches to size 3 continued Tuesday and Wednesday, likely triggered by warm temperatures or solar input.
Snowpack Summary
Warm temperatures have produced a crust above 2000 m and higher on solar slopes. Dry snow persists on northerly aspects at upper elevations.
Three persistent weak layers are a concern in the snowpack. Surface hoar that formed in mid-March can be found 50 to 100 cm below the snow surface. Below this, another layer of surface hoar that formed in early March can be found at a depth of 100 to 150 cm. Additionally, a layer of facets, surface hoar, and/or a crust from mid-February is buried 100 to 200 cm deep.
Weather Summary
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy. Gusts to 70 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C. Freezing level dropping to valley bottom.
Friday
Sunny breaks. 30 to 40 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1100 m.
Saturday
Mix of sun and cloud. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.
Sunday
Sunny. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +3 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
- Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
- Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
- Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Gusty easterly winds will impact any loose snow available.
Aspects: North, North East, South, South West, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Persistent Slabs
Surface hoar and facets in the upper snowpack continue to trigger very large avalanches. These layers could be triggered by smaller avalanches, cornice failures, or human activity.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5