Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Friday night: Cloudy with increasing flurries bringing about 10 cm of new snow. Light to moderate southwest winds.

Saturday: Cloudy with continuing heavy snowfall bringing 15-25 cm of new snow. Moderate to strong south winds. Alpine high temperatures around -5.

Sunday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Light to moderate southwest winds. Alpine high temperatures around -9.

Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light to moderate southwest winds. Alpine high temperatures around -8.

A few small loose avalanches were observed on sun-exposed slopes on Tuesday and Wednesday. Over the weekend a few small wind slab avalanches (see this MIN report) and size 2 cornice falls were reported. The cornice falls did not trigger any slabs on the slopes below.

Looking forward, heavy snowfall over Friday night and Saturday is expected to rapidly increase avalanche danger in the region as it accumulates and forms new storm slabs that bond poorly with the current snow surface.

Up to 35 cm of new snow is expected to accumulate in the region by the end of the day on Saturday. The new snow will bury heavily wind affected surfaces in exposed areas as well as sun crust on solar aspects and temperature crusts up to 1700 m on all other aspects. The new snow is not expected to bond well with any of these surfaces over the near term.

A thick rain crust that has facets associated with it sits 30-60 cm below the surface and can be found up to ridgetops. We have only seen one avalanche on this layer since February 17th. The mid-pack is well settled and strong, but the base of the snowpack contains basal facets that are most prominent in shallow rocky start zones.

• Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
• Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
• Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.