Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 27th, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeThere have been no field observations in the past few days. Submit a MIN if you head out!
Uncertainty around buried weak layers is best managed with conservative terrain choices.
Summary
Confidence
Low
Avalanche Summary
There have been very few reports from this region in the past few days.
Last weekend, there were numerous reports of natural and skier-triggered persistent slabs, mainly at treeline, up to size 2. Check out this MIN from Powder King on Saturday and this MIN in Torpy on Friday. We suspect these avalanches ran on one of the surface hoar layers in the top meter of the snowpack.
Moving forward, natural activity is expected to taper, but large human-triggered slabs remain possible.
Snowpack Summary
Recent strong winds have created heavily wind-affected surfaces in the alpine and treeline. Below treeline a new crust is on or near the surface.
The mid pack contains several layers of note; a layer of surface hoar down 30 to 50 cm, a significant crust from the early December rain event down around 60 cm and a layer of surface hoar down 70 to 120 cm.
Snowpack depth throughout this region is highly variable and as a result the depths of the above mentioned layers are approximate and could be different than what you find in your riding area.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Partially cloudy, no new snow. South alpine wind 40 to 70 km/h. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1500 m in the north, 2500 m in the south.
Thursday
A mix of sun and cloud, no new snow. South alpine wind 50 to 70 km/h. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.
Friday
Partially cloudy, no new snow. South alpine wind 40 to 50 km/h. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1700 m.
Saturday
Mainly cloudy, no new snow. South alpine wind, 20 to 40 km/h. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 2000 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Any steep opening in the trees should be treated as suspect right now.
- Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
- Use careful route-finding and stick to moderate slope angles with low consequences.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Buried surface hoar may remain rider-triggerable. This layer is of greatest concern around treeline elevation in areas where a significant crust is not found above it.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Recent strong southerly winds have likely formed wind slabs on a variety of aspects in lee features in exposed terrain at treeline and above.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 28th, 2023 4:00PM