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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 2nd, 2012–Feb 3rd, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Good - -1

Weather Forecast

There is a band of warm air at higher elevations that may keep temperatures in the alpine quite warm overnight; probably about -3.0 at 2500 metres. Clear skies should allow the valleys to get slightly below freezing. Friday is expected to be warm with light southerly winds and mostly sunny skies. Temperatures should drop to near freezing in the valley bottoms overnight. Light upslope precipitation is expected to bring trace amounts of snow on Saturday. Sunday is expected to be mostly clear with light winds and freezing levels up to about 1200 metres.

Avalanche Summary

Some sloughing from steep shaded aspects in the alpine to size 1.0. Also, moist surface snow releases up to size 1.0 on solar aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Recent strong southerly winds have created soft windslabs in the alpine and at treeline that are settling and bonding due to the warm temperatures. Pockets of dry snow in the alpine may become active with the initial warming. Some sun crust is developing on steep solar aspects. Shallow rocky areas continue to be a concern due to the formation of weak buried facets. Surface instabilities, cornice releases, or other large loads may trigger deep buried weak layers; this is a low probability, high consequence situation.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.