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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 10th, 2016–Dec 11th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead.

Generally safe avalanche conditions in most areas. If the winds pick up, thin wind slabs may form on lee features in the alpine.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Sunday: Cloudy with flurries; 2-5 cm new snow / Light to moderate southwesterly winds / High of -13 C.Monday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light southwesterly winds / High of -20 C.Tuesday: Sunny / Light northwesterly winds / High of -20 C.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported in this region on Friday.

Snowpack Summary

The snow that fell last weekend has seen little wind effect in many areas throughout the region. If winds pick up this weekend, freshly formed thin wind slabs will be the primary concern. The mid pack is reported to be well settled. There is sufficient snow on the ground for avalanches at treeline and alpine elevations, and possibly in some below treeline locations. Reports suggest typical treeline snow depths are around 110-150 cm, but a report from the east side of region indicated a much lower snow depth of around 90 cm. Limited reports suggest the crust from the middle of November is down 50-80 cm and the crust from early November is down 80-110 cm.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.