Avalanche forecast

Arthur's Pass

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory
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Avalanche danger

High Alpine · above 1,800 m
3 · Considerable
Alpine · 1,200 m–1,800 m
2 · Moderate
Sub Alpine · below 1,200 m
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired last month. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

With snow forecast again tomorrow, the wind slab hazard will continue to stay elevated. Plan conservative lines and to keep out of steeper ground until the new snow settles. Be cautious of runouts in valley bottoms, as avalanches could hit the valley floor in some areas.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    2

    With more than 60cm of new snow at higher elevations and changes in winds and temperatures, expect a few different layers within the new snow. Some pockets could be quite deep; expect some areas to be well over 1m deep. Plan conservative lines and to keep out of steeper ground until the new snow settles. Be cautious of runouts in valley bottoms, as avalanches could hit the valley floor in some areas.

Recent Avalanche Activity

Nothing reported in the last few days. If you see anything, please report it in the public observations section of the NZAA website.

Further south, a loose wet cycle has occurred in the Arrowsmiths region after the last storm cycle.

Current Snowpack Conditions

60mm of rain in the last 48hrs has fallen in Arthur's Pass. Initially rain below 1900m, but the freezing level dropped later today with snow to 1300m. Over 60cm of new snow fell above 1900 m, with drifts to over 1m expected; expect some storm shears within the new snow. The lower elevations will have started wet, with new snow expected to have bonded well. All this fell on a generally well-settled snowpack. Limited snow cover below 1700m before the last storm. There have been a couple of storm cycles this season, bringing a base at higher elevation associated with strong winds, leaving a pressed snowpack with no significant layers of concern. At lower elevations (below 2000m) ice crusts exist but bonding to the ice layers has been good.

Mountain Weather

Rain, falling as snow to 800 metres, then easing to showers in the morning, before clearing to fine in the evening. Winds Northwesterly gale 70 km/h turning to southwesterly 35 km/h in the morning, then dying out in the evening. Freezing level 1200 metres, lowering to 400 metres in the evening.

Sliding Danger

Conditions are changing; new snow is falling, but with strong winds, so ridges may be stripped back to hard surfaces. Crampons and an ice axe are a good idea for ridge travel.

Forecast Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain about forecast snowfall amounts.

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory (NZ Mountain Safety Council)

Regions covered