Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Banff Yoho Kootenay.
Though natural avalanche activity has tapered off, human triggering remains likely. Choose less committing terrain and avoid large overhead hazard.
There have been a few close calls already this week.
Weather Forecast
Friday will see mainly cloudy skies with brief periods of sun and isolated flurries. Alpine high of -16 with a possible temperature inversion. Moderate winds from the West. No significant snow accumulations in the forecast.
Snowpack Summary
Surface hoar growth up to 5mm observed below tree line. Moderate SW winds are redistributing the 30-60cm of recent storm snow and forming wind slab on lee aspects. Below the new snow the snowpack structure is generally weak, consisting of facets and depth hoar and a Nov crust up to 2500m.
Avalanche Summary
No new natural avalanche activity in the past two days. Explosive avalanche control yesterday at Sunshine ski area produced a sz 2 deep persistent slab. Recent reports of skier triggered avalanches within the region.
Confidence
Due to the number of field observations on Thursday
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
With 30-60cm of storm snow available for transport accompanied by the moderate to strong SW winds, expect fresh wind slab formation in the alpine and exposed areas at tree line.
- Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.
- If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Deep Persistent Slabs
The weak, faceted lower snowpack remains stressed by the new storm snow at all elevations. If triggered the deep facets it will result in a very large avalanche.
- Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5