Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Most of BC finds itself under the influence of a massive arctic high-pressure system that has enveloped the province in an unseasonably cold, dry arctic air mass. In contrast, a milder, moisture-laden stream of air has taken aim at southwestern BC. These two air masses are set to clash over southern BC through Friday night, producing potentially heavy snowfall along the south coast before expected clearing begins on Saturday.THURSDAY NIGHT: Freezing level at valley bottom, moderate to strong west/northwest wind, 1 to 5 cm of snow possible. FRIDAY: Overcast, freezing level at valley bottom, light to moderate southwest wind, trace of snow possible. FRIDAY NIGHT: Freezing level at valley bottom, 5 to 15 cm of snow possible. SATURDAY: Skies clearing throughout the day, freezing level at valley bottom, moderate to strong NW wind, no snow expected.SUNDAY: Clear skies, freezing level at valley bottom, light variable wind, no snow expected.

No new avalanches have been reported, but we suspect that the new snow and wind may have initiated a round of storm slab avalanches on Thursday.

As of Thursday afternoon the storm has produced about 25 cm in the north of the region and around 40 cm in the south. Winds have largely been out of the southwest throughout the storm. The new storm snow covers a medley of surfaces which include stubborn wind slabs and wind-scoured exposed crust in the alpine, and loose faceted snow in sheltered areas at treeline and below. Variable amounts of snow (up to 100 cm around the Coquihalla and closer to 40 cm in the Duffey area) overlie a widespread melt-freeze crust that was buried on December 15th. As of late, this layer has not produced much in the way of avalanche activity, but it could come to life with the additional load of new snowfall, especially in areas where loose facets exist above the crust.Beneath the December 15th layer, the lower snowpack is generally strong and well settled.