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Avalanche Forecast

Apr 22nd, 2012–Apr 23rd, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Monday: Light rain, with snowfall possible only at very high elevations. Freezing level around 2600 m. Light to moderate south-easterly to south-westerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

Several size 1-2 avalanches were triggered by people and explosives on Friday following overnight snow and wind. These failed on a crust or within recent storm snow layers. Natural avalanches were also triggered by sunshine on solar aspects, and a size 2 natural slab was observed on a NW aspect in Garibaldi Park. On Saturday, similar activity continued.

Snowpack Summary

20 cm of snow which fell on Thursday night was shifted into wind slabs on slopes lee to the south or south-west. Around 50 cm of snow now overlies a buried crust, which has been acting as an easy sliding layer. Solar warming de-stabilized new snow above this crust on Friday and Saturday. Warm temperatures through Saturday night didn't allow the snow surface to refreeze. This pattern is likely to continue for the next few days, which could lead to a weak, wet snowpack at all elevations. A deeper crust layer from late March, buried within the upper 2 m of the snowpack, remains a lingering concern for big avalanches, particularly during times of intense or prolonged snowpack warming. Large cornices threaten slopes. Glide slab releases are a possibility, especially in steep rocky terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs have developed with recent snow and moderate winds, and more may develop with incoming weather. Be alert for these behind ridges and terrain breaks.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Cornices

Large cornices are looming. These are a hazard in themselves and could trigger avalanches on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 5

Loose Wet

Wet loose or slab avalanches may slide easily on a buried crust, particularly while rainfall or mild temperatures continue. These can gather mass, push you around and become surprisingly large.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 6