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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 2nd, 2017–Feb 3rd, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Reactive wind slabs may be found on all aspects due to recent switching winds.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The cold arctic outflow will reside as an active weather pattern reaches the Coast tomorrow bringing slightly warmer temperatures, strong winds and new snow. Friday: Snow amounts 5-10 cm with ridgetop winds light from the southeast. Alpine temperatures near -6 and freezing levels 600 m. Saturday: Snow amounts 8-12 cm with ridgetop winds light-gusting strong from the southwest. Alpine temperatures near -5 and freezing levels rising to 800 m.Sunday: Snow amounts 20-30 cm with ridgetop winds moderate-gusting strong from the southwest. Alpine temperatures near -8 and freezing levels 900 m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Thursday. New snow and wind may build fresh wind slabs on leeward slopes.  Sluffing is likely from steeper terrain features.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds have formed stiff, yet reactive wind slabs in the lee of exposed terrain. Up to 15 cm of snow sits above a thin breakable sun crust and isolated pockets of buried surface hoar. Some recent snowpack tests have shown hard, yet sudden planar results on the mid-January interface (facets) buried approximately 60-100 cm down. A total of 60-120 cm of settled storm snow now forms the upper snowpack and is generally bonded to a crust below. The exception may be thin rocky areas. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled, but still feature a number of facet and crust layers that are currently dormant but require monitoring with significant change

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

With recent switching winds, all aspects may have pockets of wind slab on exposed higher elevation features near ridge crests and cross-loaded slopes.
Avoid steep convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2