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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 26th, 2012–Dec 27th, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Unsettled weather is bringing few flurries and cloudy skies overnight into Thursday morning. An building upper ridge will host a clearing drying trend, with cooler temperatures. Thursday: Cloudy with sunny breaks in the afternoon. Light West winds are expected and alpine temperatures near -10. Freezing levels should remain at Valley Bottom through the forecast period.Friday/Saturday: Cloudy with few flurries. Ridgetop winds will be light-moderate from the West, and alpine temperatures near -13.

Avalanche Summary

No new observations.

Snowpack Summary

The recent storm snow seems to be settling with moderate to hard resistant shears in the top meter of the snowpack. Wind slabs have formed and may be easy to trigger and more reactive, especially on leeward slopes, and behind terrain features (spines, gullies). In sheltered places the slab is still relatively unconsolidated and soft and may not propagate far. In some areas through the region, people continue to monitor the late November buried surface hoar found down around 130 cm. Snowpack testing has shown compression and deep tap test results in the hard to very hard range with a variety of fracture characteristics, including no results, breaks and some with sudden results. This layer may be difficult to trigger, but you can expect a consequential avalanche to occur if this layer fails. Dig down, find and test weak layers that may exist in your neck of the woods. Deeper in the snowpack sits a generally well settled mid-pack.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Blowing winds from variable directions has redistributed recent storm snow on most aspects. Use extra caution on lee slopes, behind spines, and in wind exposed areas. Reverse loading may catch you by surprise on unsuspecting slopes.
Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong indicators of an unstable snowpack.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>Carefully evaluate big terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 5