Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Rockies.
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
We've had a bit of a shift from the very cold conditions, and temperatures have warmed by 5 - 10 degrees Celcius. Only some isolated flurries are possible until late Sunday, when a small amount (5-10 cms) of light dry snow is forecast.SATURDAY: Sunny breaks with increasing clouds overnight. Flurries overnight with little accumulation. Winds light southerly. Alpine highs to -13 Celcius.SUNDAY: Cloudy with sunny breaks. Winds light southerly. Alpine temperatures between -15 and -20 Celcius; 5-10 cms light dry snow overnight.MONDAY: An additional 5-10 cms light dry snow are possible during the day and overnight. Winds light - moderate southwesterly. Alpine temperatures steady near -14 to -18 Celcius.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches observed.
Snowpack Summary
Another round of moderate northerly winds has moved through the Crowsnest pass and northern areas in the past 24 hours, causing fresh wind slabs on south and west aspects. In some areas these wind slabs may be sitting on an old scoured surface that was stripped by previous strong westerly winds that developed wind slabs on north and east aspects. The newer wind slabs are probably easier to trigger, but the old wind slabs may continue to release with the added load of a rider, especially where they are sitting on a shallow weak sugary base. The mid snowpack is generally right side up, with the mid-December interface down 40-80cms, giving inconsistent results in snowpack tests. There is some faceting below this interface but resistances are good and showing signs of rounding (stabilizing). Travel conditions have been challenging (especially at lower elevations) and little change is expected until a significant warm up helps to settle the snowpack.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3