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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 26th, 2017–Nov 27th, 2017
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Avalanches are continuing to run on the Halloween persistent weak layer. Conservative route choices are in order.

Weather Forecast

There will be a cooling trend with freezing levels lowering to around 1200 m on Monday. Light snow expected throughout the day on Monday with accumulations at treeline up to 10 cm. Continued unsettled weather on Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

Recent fresh snow and strong south and south west winds will have created fresh wind-slabs in the high alpine. At tree-line and below a warm and rain soaked upper pack sits over the Halloween crust which is 20-40 cm above the ground. The main weakness in the snowpack remains the weak facets associated with the Halloween crust.

Avalanche Summary

Warm temperatures and rain below 1900 m have weakened the snow-pack. Lake Louise Ski Hill triggered a bunch of avalanches up to size 2.5 with explosives on Sunday and there was a boarder triggered size 2.5 avalanche in Westbowl. Avalanches were running on the Halloween layer near the base of the snow-pack.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

New snow and rain below 1900 m have added extra weight to the snowpack. The Halloween persistent weak layer remains active as indicated by fresh avalanche activity reported at Lake Louise (see avalanche details).
Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

Fresh snow and mod to strong SW winds will have created fresh wind-slabs in the alpine.
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2