Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 22nd, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Jeff Andrews,

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Avalanche danger will rise on Thursday with the incoming storm. Watch for sensitive wind slab ridge crest and non typical areas lower in terrain.

Expect travel delays on the Icefields Parkway Friday due to avalanche control. Check AB511 for updates.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Thursday:

Flurries

Accumulation: 14 cm.

Alpine temperature: High -8 C.

Ridge wind southwest moderate to strong.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Friday

Flurries.

Accumulation: 4 cm.

Alpine temperature: Low -23 C, High -14 C.

Ridge wind west: light gusting to 20 km/h.

Arctic ridge taking over into the weekend with mega frigid temps kicking in...

Snowpack Summary

5-10cm of recent snow with moderate to strong SW winds contributing to wind slab development in the alpine and on exposed terrain features at treeline. The mid snowpack has settled well with a deteriorating rain crust present up to 1950m. Cold temperatures and a crust/facet layer near the base of the snowpack continues to promote basal faceting.

Avalanche Summary

One size 2 natural avalanche observed late yesterday initiating low in the start zone of one of our frequent flyers in the Parker slabs - wind slab up to 60cm deep with impressive propagation (100m) - did not make it far.

Please share your trip report, Ice and/or Riding conditions on Avalanche Canada's, Mountain Information Network!

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Sustained SW winds and new snow overnight into Thursday continue to build new wind slabs in lee and cross loaded features.  Slab development not isolated to ridgecrest and can be found low in terrain features from the strong to extreme winds Dec 21.

  • Watch for stiffer feeling snow. Avoid areas that appear wind loaded.
  • Use caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

This problem is trending toward unreactive but our current snowpack structure means this layer could wake up with a large trigger or rapid loading. Use extra caution in thin areas were humans are most likely to trigger this high consequence layer.

  • Use caution in thin snowpack areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Dec 23rd, 2021 4:00PM

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