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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 29th, 2017–Mar 30th, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Forecast warm weather and potential extended sunny periods on Thursday and Friday will keep the avalanche danger elevated

Confidence

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries / Light moderate west wind / Alpine temperature -3 / Freezing level 1500mFRIDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light southwest wind / Alpine temperature -2 / Freezing level 1200mSATURDAY: Flurries / Light to moderate southwest wind / Alpine temperature -1 / Freezing level 1400m

Avalanche Summary

Several thin wind slab avalanches in steep lee loaded exposed terrain were reported on Monday and Tuesday in the north of the region. One report of a cornice collapse in the south of the region on Sunday that resulted in a slab avalanche.

Snowpack Summary

Steady light snowfalls over the last week have accumulated 40-60cm of new snow in the region. Freezing levels to 2000m or higher and intermittent sun over the same time period created a variety of  thin crust layers within the upper snowpack at lower elevations and on solar aspects. A thick rain crust forming in Mid-March up to the 2100m elevation is down 50-80cm below the surface. In the north of the region, the February persistent weak layers may still be found and are down 100-140cm. They include a buried surface hoar layer as well as a crust/facet layer. In the southern parts of the region, the mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow accumulations combined with moderate southerly winds have been building wind slabs.
Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Recent warm and windy weather has been promoting cornice growth.
Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could potentially trigger deeper weak layersCornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3